Wednesday, February 4, 2015

As the Greek Finance Minister continues his charm offensive around Europe, the question for the eurozone's governments, financial institutions and banks is: how much do we have to concede to get out of this mess? The new anti-austerity and anti-bailout government is pushing to reduce Athens' huge debt burden using the argument that the country is too big to fail and if it goes down it will cause massive damage to the eurozone. Greece owes 321 billion euros projected for 2015. That is one 174 percent of its gross domestic product - GDP being everything the country produces in a year. It is the equivalent of nearly 30,000 euros for every person living in Greece. Around 60 percent of this is owed to eurozone governments, particularly though the European Financial Stability Facility - an emergency rescue fund. The International Monetary Fund holds 10 percent and the European Central Bank has six percent. Private Greek banks have another three percent. Compromise? Creditors such as the European Union, the IMF and the ECB could give Greece even more time to pay, but Germany - the most powerful financial force in the eurozone - feels it has had enough leeway and want to see deeper economic reforms brought in faster. Independent economist Vagelis Agapitos, believes common sense will prevail as the two sides need one another: "I think Greece has limited options because of the pressing need of the liquidity of the Greek banking system and of the Greek economy. At the same time, I think Germany wants to find a solution, and I think it will be a tough negotiation but some mid-way ground will be found, whereby Greece provides a balanced budget, provides the security of repaying most of its debt, while at the same time committing to additional reform." Investors obviously expect the two sides to reach an accommodation involving more time to repay debts and perhaps reduced interest rates for some loans. That was evidenced by share prices shooting up on the Athens stock exchange on Tuesday. At one stage the main equity index rose close to 11 percent. 'Greece can't face the heat' Not everyone agrees compromise is the best option. Robert Halver, Head of Market Research at Germany's Baader Bank said: "Here on the markets everybody knows that Greece cannot face the heat of the eurozone. That is why everyone here is surprised that politicians are ready to make false compromises again and to transfer the debt problems into the future while knowing that it will not get better then. The Greeks have no chance of surviving in the eurozone, one can cut all their debt now - they will start to collect more debts straightaway because they do not have the necessary competitiveness. What we see at the moment is the Greek finance minister's attempt to find allies for his debt-cut strategy. But if one lets that happen it would be the moral end of the eurozone." Halver argues that there are reasons why it would be better to let Greece leave the euro currency bloc now : "It has to be considered whether it makes sense to keep Greece in the eurozone come hell or high water. Are the Greeks competitive enough to stay in the eurozone knowing that production costs in, for example, Poland, are half of those in Greece? You are not doing the Greeks a favour by keeping them in the eurozone. The problems, especially social problems, are ever increasing. I am not saying this because I have a problem with Greece, quite the opposite, the population deserves a chance. The eurozone's regulations are much too tight for the Greeks, they strangle them."



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Greece plays the too big to fail card - will it work?

By: jironde on: 1:46 AM
Neither Croatia nor Serbia committed genocide against each other's populations during the Balkan wars. That is the verdict from the top UN court, the International Court of Justice. In a complex judgement, the court dismissed both a Croatian claim and a Serbian counter-claim. Judge Peter Tomka, the President of the International Court of Justice, said: "The court considers that even taken together, and interpreted in light of the contemporaries' overall political and military context, the passages from the Briony transcript quoted by Serbia, like the rest of the document, do not establish the existence of the specific intent (Dolus Specialis)which characterises genocide." The claims of genocide arose from atrocities committed after the breakup of Yugoslavia in the 1990s. The court said many crimes had been committed by both sides. Croatia was seeking reparations against Belgrade for backing a rebel Serb minority in carrying out ethnic cleansing - in particular in the eastern town of Vukovar. The court found that "Croatia has not succeeded in proving the allegations that genocide was committed". It was there that the first mass atrocity of the war in the former Yugoslavia was carried out. Serb forces are said to have taken more than 200 patients from a local hospital and executed them in a nearby field. In the days that followed some 2,500 people were reportedly killed after the town had been captured by the Yugoslav army and local paramilitaries. More people were killed in the three days following the fall of the city than in the three-month siege preceding it. The court cited cases at the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia (ICTY), which proved that there was evidence to show operations had the effect of making people flee, but could not establish intent for genocide under Article II of the Genocide Convention. In response to Croatia's lawsuit, Serbia had filed a counter claim over the expulsion of more than 200,000 ethnic Serbs from Croatia in 1995 - specifically under 'Operation Storm' in Krajina. The court found that the evidence produced by Serbia was not entirely conclusive, but there is evidence to establish such attacks did take place. The judge explained that acts of ethnic cleansing can be elements of a genocidal plan, but only if intention for destruction is there, but not forcible removal. He added that the killing and ill treatment of civilians was not on a scale that it would point to genocide. The judge thus announced that "the counterclaim must be dismissed in its entirety." Though many crimes had been committed by both countries' forces during the conflict, neither side had succeeded in proving the intent to commit genocide by "destroying the population in whole or in part". The 1948 Genocide Convention The convention entered into force in 1951 and defined genocide as "any of the following acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group". Killing members of the group Causing serious bodily or mental harm to members of the group Deliberately inflicting on the group conditions of life calculated to bring about its physical destruction in whole or in part Imposing measures intended to prevent births within the group Forcibly transferring children of the group to another group In Article III defines the acts punishable as: Genocide Conspiracy to commit genocide Direct and public incitement to commit genocide Attempt to commit genocide Complicity in genocide For more background on the cases page 23 of the ICJ's Annual report 2013-14 has full details. By Joanna Gill and Seamus Kearney #ICJ says Serbia cannot be guilty of #genocide before 27 April 1992 when it signed the convention: ruling out 1991 Vukovar massacre- Int. Justice Tribune (@Justicetribune) February 3, 2015 What most fail to mention: Serbia could not be guilty as a state for acts committed prior to its accession to the Convention #ICJ #genocide- Katja Loncaric (@klonca) February 3, 2015 #ICJ rejects claim & counterclaim in Croatia v. Serbia.Interesting Qs on relationship between state & individual resp http://t.co/qx0FuFqaLY- Paul Kingsley Clark (@_Paul_Clark) February 3, 2015 ICJ Rejects Genocide Claims of Serbia and Croatia http://t.co/2K00VK43a2- Balkan Insight (@BalkanInsight) February 3, 2015 Very unsurprising #ICJ ruling on Croatia & Serbia genocide claims given the precedents of another UN court, #ICTY- Bruno Waterfield (@BrunoBrussels) February 3, 2015



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Top UN court rules Serbia and Croatia not guilty of genocide

By: jironde on: 12:52 AM
stupidity must hurt



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Idiot on a skateboard

By: jironde on: 12:52 AM

Tuesday, February 3, 2015

He almost takes out everyone around him.



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AK47 shooting fail

By: jironde on: 6:58 PM
FAIL!



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Dumb man takes off his shoes on slippery road

By: jironde on: 4:59 PM
Brigham's high bar tonight in Boise. He totally knocks over his coach! FB Source link



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Coach Airbourned by his Athlete - K.O.

By: jironde on: 9:53 AM
WTF Videos of The Month January 2015



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WTF Compilation January 2015

By: jironde on: 5:52 AM

 

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